PGA DFS – Simple Vegas Projections

PGA DFS projections for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo.

PGA previews are available each week here.

Projections are based on a simple, betting-odds based system. Moneyline odds for each golfer are used to calculate their implied odds of winning, finishing top-5, top-10 and top-20. Then, the implied odds are used to predict a salary for each player.

The ValueAdded represents the difference between the actual value and the predicted value. ValueRatio is the expected price divided by the actual price. For both statistics, the higher the value the better.

impWin – Implied Win %

Vegas PGA Odds

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Name	MoneyLineWin	top5	top10	top20	impWin	impTop5	impTop10	impTop20
Brooks Koepka	750	145	-150	-300	0.118	0.408	0.6	0.75
Hideki Matsuyama	1600	300	140	-150	0.059	0.25	0.417	0.6
Jordan Spieth	2000	340	160	-135	0.048	0.227	0.385	0.574
Aaron Wise	2200	450	210	100	0.043	0.182	0.323	0.5
Henrik Stenson	2500	450	210	100	0.038	0.182	0.323	0.5
Marc Leishman	2500	600	280	130	0.038	0.143	0.263	0.435
Keith Mitchell	2800	500	240	110	0.034	0.167	0.294	0.476
Patrick Reed	2800	600	280	130	0.034	0.143	0.263	0.435
Branden Grace	3300	600	280	130	0.029	0.143	0.263	0.435
Charles Howell III	4000	700	325	155	0.024	0.125	0.235	0.392

Showing 1 to 10 of 155 entries

Last modified May 8, 2019 7:00 pm EST

DraftKings Simple Vegas PGA Projection

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Name	MoneyLineWin	Salary	Predicted	Value	Ratio
Ryan Palmer	5000	8000	8471	471	1.059
Abraham Ancer	6600	7600	8059	459	1.06
Scott Piercy	4000	8400	8854	454	1.054
Keith Mitchell	2800	9100	9536	436	1.048
Brandon Hagy	30000	6100	6484	384	1.063
Thorbjorn Olesen	5000	8100	8471	371	1.046
Pat Perez	6600	7700	8059	359	1.047
Brooks Koepka	750	11400	11757	357	1.031
Charles Howell III	4000	8500	8854	354	1.042
Brian Stuard	8000	7400	7753	353	1.048

Showing 1 to 10 of 155 entries

Last modified May 8, 2019 7:00 pm EST

FanDuel Simple Vegas PGA Projection

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Name	MoneyLineWin	Salary	Predicted	Value	Ratio
Brooks Koepka	750	12600	13476	876	1.07
Tony Romo	100000	6000	6861	861	1.143
Keith Mitchell	2800	10200	10980	780	1.076
Jordan Spieth	2000	11200	11876	676	1.06
Alex Prugh	22500	7100	7711	611	1.086
Hideki Matsuyama	1600	11500	12109	609	1.053
Brandon Hagy	30000	7000	7551	551	1.079
Tom Hoge	30000	7000	7551	551	1.079
Tyler Duncan	30000	7000	7551	551	1.079
Tyrone Van Aswegen	27500	7000	7551	551	1.079

Showing 1 to 10 of 155 entries

Last modified May 8, 2019 6:59 pm EST

Yahoo Simple Vegas PGA Projection

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Name	MoneyLineWin	Salary	Predicted	Value	Ratio
Scottie Scheffler	6600	20	30.59	10.59	1.53
Seamus Power	8000	20	28.74	8.74	1.437
Brooks Koepka	750	47	53	6	1.128
Kyoung-Hoon Lee	8000	23	28.74	5.74	1.25
Aaron Wise	2200	35	40.71	5.71	1.163
Peter Malnati	12500	20	25.5	5.5	1.275
Rory Sabbatini	5000	28	33.09	5.09	1.182
Adam Schenk	10000	21	25.5	4.5	1.214
Martin Laird	12500	21	25.5	4.5	1.214
Jordan Spieth	2000	40	44.37	4.37	1.109

Showing 1 to 10 of 155 entries

Last modified May 8, 2019 7:00 pm EST